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NOAA just confirmed El Niño is here. The Niño-3.4 index hit +1.7°C by mid-June, months ahead of schedule. Some models are projecting a peak of +3.0°C by December, which would make this the strongest El Niño in the modern record. This video breaks down what has changed since the last one, what the models are showing, and what the next six months could look like for the rest of the planet.
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The “Super” El Niño of 2026: Why 2027 Will Be the Year the World Watches
A rapidly intensifying patch of warm water in the central Pacific is reshaping global weather patterns, potentially disrupting food supplies across multiple continents, and pushing global temperatures toward territory humanity has never measured. On June 11, 2026, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued an El Niño Advisory, marking the official onset of conditions that forecasters warn could rank among the strongest in the instrumental record. https://earthclimate.eu/2026/07/17/the-super-el-nino-of-2026-why-2027-will-be-the-year-the-world-watches/
Zeke Hausfather@hausfath@fediscience.org: The rise in Niño 3.4 region sea surface temperatures over the past few weeks has been nothing short of astonishing.
We are now hotter than any days during the 1997/1998 super El Niño event, and we are still many months from the peak.
https://mastodon.social/@hausfath@fediscience.org/117044969281811054
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